A monetary policy for employment in the WAEMU
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18559/rielf.2020.2.6Keywords:
GMM, monetary policy, unemployment, vector autogression, WAEMUAbstract
Despite great results of member countries of the West African Monetary and Economic Union (WAEMU) in the attainment of the convergence conditions the issues of poverty incidence and employment remain important in the eight economies. The renewed debate on macroeconomic linkages in the aftermath of the 2008 global crisis, leads us to wonder whether there would not be a room to improve significantly the effectiveness of current economic policies in developing economies especially those in the WAEMU. Indeed unemployment remains high even if inflation is duly under control and growth has reached unprecedented levels in the Union. The main message of this paper is that targeting inflation solely is not sufficient to promote economic and social development. The Central Bank of West African States (BCEAO) may recourse to (in) direct instruments (reserve requirement or even quantitative objectives for banks in terms of credit to SMEs) to induces the right incentives for the financial system to finance more directly small business and other SMEs that create jobs.
Downloads
References
Agénor, P. R., & Pereira da Silva, L. A. (2013). Capital regulation, monetary policy, and financial stability. International Journal of Central Banking, 9(3), 198-243.
View in Google Scholar
Alichi, A. (2015). A new methodology for estimating the output gap in the United States. (Working Paper, No. WP/15/144). International Monetary Fund
View in Google Scholar
Anwar, S., & Islam, I. (2011). Should developing countries target low, single digit inflation to promote growth and employment?. (Employment Working Paper No. 87). International Labor Office.
View in Google Scholar
Arrellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
View in Google Scholar
Azam, J. P. (2004). Poverty and growth in the WAEMU after the 1994 devaluation. Journal of African Economies, 13(4), 536-562.
View in Google Scholar
Azam, J. P., Dia, M., Tsimpo, C., & Wodon, Q. (2007). Has growth in Senegal after the 1994 devaluation been propoor?. (MPRA Paper No. 11110).
View in Google Scholar
BCEAO (Banque Centrale des Etats de l’Afrique de l’Ouest). (2018). Plan stratégique 2016- 2018: Franchir de nouveaux caps Efficience Résilience Conformité.
View in Google Scholar
Blanchard, O., Dell’Ariccia, G., Mauro, P. (2013). Rethinking macro policy II: Getting granular. (Staff Discussion Note, No. SDN/13/03). International Monetary Fund.
View in Google Scholar
Brilleau, A., Roubaud, F., & Torelli, C. (2004). L’emploi, le chômage et les conditions d’activité dans les principales agglomérations de sept Etats membres de l’UEMOA. Principaux résultats de la phase 1 de l’enquête 1-2-3 de 2001-2002. Développement Institutions & Analyses de Long terme (DIAL), Document de travail, No. 2004/06.
View in Google Scholar
Brito, R., & Bystedt, B., 2010. Inflation targeting and emerging economies: Panel evidence. Journal of Development Economics, 91, 198-210.
View in Google Scholar
Broz, J. L. (1997). The international origins of the federal reserve system. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.
View in Google Scholar
Cameron, R., & Neal, L. (2003). Concise economic history of the world: From paleolithic times to the present. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
View in Google Scholar
Capie, F. (1999). Banking in Europe in the 19th century: The role of the central bank. In R. Sylla, R. Tilly, G. Tortella, G. T. Casares (Eds.), The state, the financial system and economic modernization (pp. 118-133). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
View in Google Scholar
Diagana, B., Reardon, T. (1999). Household consumption responses to the franc CFA devaluation: Evidence from urban Senegal. Food Policy, 24(5), 495-515.
View in Google Scholar
Diarra, S. (2016). Analyse rétrospective du respect des nouveaux critères de convergence de l’UEMOA. Revue d’Economie du Développement, 24, 79-98.
View in Google Scholar
Djoke, K. A, Ayawo, D., D’Almeida A., & Rachidatou, R. (2009). Child poverty profile in four WAEMU countries: A comparative analysis based on multidimensional poverty approach. Profil de la pauvreté infantile dans quatre pays de l’UEMOA: Une analyse comparative basee sur l’approche multidimensionnelle de la pauvrete. (Poverty and Economic Policy Research Network Working Paper).
View in Google Scholar
Epstein, G. (2005). Central banks as agents of economic development. (Working Paper Series No.104). University of Massachusets, Amherst, Political Economy Research Institute.
View in Google Scholar
Epstein, G. (2009). Post-war experiences with developmental central banks: The good, the bad and the hopeful. (United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. Research Papers for the Intergovernmental Group of Twenty-Four on International Monetary Affairs and Development).
View in Google Scholar
Frimpong, J., & Oteng-Abayie, E. (2010). When is inflation harmful? Estimating the thres- hold effect for Ghana. American Journal of Economic and Business Administration, 2(3), 232-239.
View in Google Scholar
Ghura, D., Leite, C. A., & Tsangarides, C. (2002). Is growth enough? Macroeconomic policy and poverty reduction. (Working Paper No. WP/02/118). International Monetary Fund.
View in Google Scholar
Gonçalves, C. E. S., & Salles, J. M. (2008). Inflation targeting in emerging economies: What do the data say?. Journal of Development Economics, 85, 312-318.
View in Google Scholar
IMF. (2016). West African Economic and Monetary Union. IMF Country Report No. 16/98. IMF. (2018). World Economic Outlook: Challenges to steady growth. Washington, DC.
View in Google Scholar
Jaebeom, K. (2014). Inflation targeting and real exchange rates: A bias correction approach. Economics Letters, 125(2), 253-256.
View in Google Scholar
Khan, A. (2017). Central Bank legal frameworks in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. (Working Paper No. 17/101). International Monetary Fund.
View in Google Scholar
Mendonça, F., de, & Helder de Guimarães e Souza, G. (2012). Is inflation targeting a good remedy to control inflation?. Journal of Development Economics, 98(2), 178-191.
View in Google Scholar
North, D. C., & Barry, R. W. (1989). Constitutions and commitment: The evolution of institutions governing public choice in seventeenth-century England. Journal of Economic History, 49, 803-832.
View in Google Scholar
Ouyang, A. Y., & Rajan, R. S. (2019). The impact of financial development on the effectiveness of inflation targeting in developing economies. Japan and the World Economy, 50, 25-35.
View in Google Scholar
Pontines, V. (2011). The nexus between inflation targeting and exchange rate volatility. (SEACEN Centre Staff Paper No. 84).
View in Google Scholar
Scarlata, J. (2002). Inflation targeting. In C.-H. Wong, M. Khan & S. Nsouli (Eds.), Macroeconomic management: Programs and policies (pp. 168-200). Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
View in Google Scholar
Stern, G. (1999). The use of explicit targets for monetary policy: Practical experiences of 91 economies in the 1990s. Bank of England, Quarterly Bulletin, Q3.
View in Google Scholar
Stiglitz, J. (2008). The failure of inflation targeting. Retrieved from https://www.project-syn-dicate.org/commentary/the-failure-of-inflation-targeting?barrier=accesspaylog
View in Google Scholar
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2020 Poznań University of Economics and Business
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.