Dynamique et déterminants de la productivité totale du travail dans les pays d’Afrique subsaharienne

Auteurs

DOI :

https://doi.org/10.18559/rielf.2024.1.1632

Mots-clés :

productivité du travail, changement structurel, emploi

Résumé

Objectif : Le but visé dans cet article est d’analyser la dynamique de la productivité totale du travail en examinant les déterminants de cette dernière en Afrique subsaharienne.

Conception/méthodologie/approche : Ce papier exploite la méthode de décomposition totale du travail et d’un modèle VECM structurel sur données de panels pour 40 pays d’ASS couvrant la période 1995 – 2019.

Résultats : Les résultats indiquent que les changements structurels, ont favorablement contribué (39,54%) à la croissance de la productivité totale du travail en ASS tandis que la productivité intra sectorielle a quant à elle ralentit la croissance de cette dernière (-48,12%). L’analyse sectorielle révèle une contribution négative pour l’agriculture ; positive pour le secteur manufacturier tandis que le secteur des services apparaît avec une contribution de 55,5% pour les changements structurels contre un apport négatif de la productivité intra sectorielle (-40,9%). Par ailleurs, les résultats du modèle VECM montrent que le taux brut de scolarisation secondaire, les technologies de l’information et de la communication, la stabilité politique et le contrôle de corruption favorisent significativement la productivité totale du travail en ASS.

Originalité/valeur : Ces résultats impliquent qu’il est nécessaire pour les pays Africain de réorienter la main-d’œuvre vers le secteur manufacturier et surtout celui des services à forte productivité pour capter l’excédent de main-d’œuvre venant de l’agriculture.  

Téléchargements

Les données relatives au téléchargement ne sont pas encore disponibles.

Références

Abramovitz, M. (1983). Notes on international differences in productivity growth rates. In D. C. Mueller (Ed.), The political economy of growth (pp. 79–89). Yale University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., & Robinson, J. (2004). Institutions as the fundamental cause of long-run growth. National Bureau of Economic Research.
View in Google Scholar

Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2019, spring). Automation and new tasks: How technology displaces and reinstates labor. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(2), 3–30.
View in Google Scholar

ACET. (2014). Rapport sur la transformation de l’Afrique: Une croissance en profondeur. Centre Africain pour la Transformation Économique.
View in Google Scholar

Alam, A., Anós Casero, P., Khan, F., & Udosamph, Ch. (2008). Unleashing prosperity: Productivity growth in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union. Banque mondiale.
View in Google Scholar

Badiane, O., Ulimwengu, J., & Badibanga, T. (2012). Structural transformation among African economies. Patterns and performance. Development, 55(4), 463–476.
View in Google Scholar

Banque Africaine de Développement. (2018). Croissance de l’emploi et de la productivité au cours d’une période de changement structurel (2001–2008) en Égypte. https://www.afdb.org/fr/documents/document/economic-brief-employment-and-productivity-growth-in-egypt-in-a-period-of-structural-change-2001-2008-49083
View in Google Scholar

Banque mondiale. (2008). Measuring output and productivity in Thailand’s service-producing industries. Projet conjoint du National Economic and Social Development Board et de la Banque mondiale.
View in Google Scholar

Becker, G. S. (1962). Investment in human capital: A theoretical analysis. Journal of Political Economy, 70(5), 9–49.
View in Google Scholar

Belorgey, N., Lecat, R., & Maury, T. (2004). Déterminants de la productivité par employé: Une évaluation empirique en données de panel. Bulletin de la Banque de France, 121, 87–113.
View in Google Scholar

Biagi, F. (2013). ICT and productivity: A review of the literature. Digital Economy Working Paper, 2013/09. https://doi.org/10.2788/32940
View in Google Scholar

Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143.
View in Google Scholar

Cadot, O. ,De Melo, J., Plane, P., Wagner, L., & Woldemichael, M. T. (2015). Industrialisation et transformation structurelle. L’Afrique subsaharienne peut-elle se développer sans usines? Papier de Recherche de l’Agence Française de Développement, 10.
View in Google Scholar

Cette, G., Clerc, C., & Bresson, L. (2015). Contribution of ICT diffusion to labour productivity growth: The United States, Canada, the eurozone, and the United Kingdom, 1970–2013. International Productivity Monitor, 28, 81–88. https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:sls:ipmsls:v:28:y:2015:5
View in Google Scholar

Chenery, H. (1960), Patterns of industrial growth. The American Economic Review, 50(4), 624–654.
View in Google Scholar

Chenery, H. B. (1979). Structural change and development policy. Oxford University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Chenery, H. B., Robinson, S., & Syrquin, M. (1986). Industrialisation et croissance: Une étude comparative. Oxford University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Chenery, H. B., & Syrquin, M. (1975). Patterns of development. Ox ersity Press. Clark, C. (1940). The conditions of economic progress. Macmillan.
View in Google Scholar

Commission Économique pour l’Afrique. (2019). Rapport annuel 20019. https://hdl.handle. net/10855/43276
View in Google Scholar

Decker, C. S., Thompson, E. C., & Wohar, M. E. (2009). Determinants of state labor productivity: The changing role of density. The Journal of Regional Analysis & Policy, 39(1), 1–10.
View in Google Scholar

Doyle, E. (1997). Structural change in Ireland. Journal of Economic Studies, 24, 58–68.
View in Google Scholar

Drame, K., & Akitan, A. (2022). Déterminants de la productivité des entreprises du secteur manufacturier au Sénégal. Revue Économie, Gestion et Société, 1(35), 1–17.
View in Google Scholar

Duarte, M. & Restuccia, D. (2010). The role of the structural transformation in aggregate productivity. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 125, 129–173.
View in Google Scholar

Dumitrescu, E., & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29, 1450–1460.
View in Google Scholar

Fabricant, S. (1942). Manufacturing in the national economy. In S. Fabricant (Ed.), Employment in manufacturing, 1899–1939: An analysis of its relation to the volume of production (pp. 153–168 https://www.nber.org/chapters/c4878
View in Google Scholar

Fisher, A. G. B. (1939). Production: Primary, secondary and tertiary. Economic Record, 15, 24–38.
View in Google Scholar

Garcia-Santana, M., Pijoan-Mas, J., & Villacorta, L. (2016). Investment demand and structural change. CEPR Discussion Paper, DP11636. https://ssrn.com/abstract=2873533
View in Google Scholar

Gokhan, Y. (2016). Labor productivity in the middle income trap and the graduated countries. Central Bank Review, 16(2), 73–83. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cbrev.2016.05.004
View in Google Scholar

Greenan, N., Mairesse, J., & Topiol-Bensaid, A. (2001). Information technology and research and development impacts on productivity and skills: Looking for correlation on French firms level data. NBER Working Paper, 8075.
View in Google Scholar

Guo, K., Hang, J., & Yan, S. (2017). Servicification, investment and structural transformation: The case of China. China Economic Review, 67, 101621.
View in Google Scholar

Hall, R. E., & Jones, C. I. (1999). Why do some countries produce so much more output per worker than others? The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(1), 83–116. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355399555954
View in Google Scholar

Hallward-Driemeier, M., & Nayyar, G. (2017). Trouble in the making?: The future of manufacturing-led development. World Bank. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/720691510129384377/Trouble-in-the-making-the-future-of-manufacturing-led-development
View in Google Scholar

Hanushek, E. A. (2013). Economic growth in developing countries: The role of human capital. Economics of Education Review, 37, 204–212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econ-edurev.2013.04.005
View in Google Scholar

Herrendorf, B., Rogerson, R., & Valentinyi, A. (2013). Growth and structural transformation. Working Paper, 18996. https://www.nber.org/papers/w18996
View in Google Scholar

Hristov, N. O., Hülsewig, O., & Wollmershäuser, T. (2011). Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis: Evidence for the Euro area. CESifo Working Paper, 3395. https://www.cesifo.org/en/publications/2011/working-paper/loan-supply-shocks-during-finan-cial-crisis-evidence-euro-area
View in Google Scholar

Ighodaro, C. A. U., & Adegboye, A. C. (2020). Long run analysis of tourism and economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 13(3), 286–301.
View in Google Scholar

Im, K. S., Pesaran, H. M., & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53–74.
View in Google Scholar

Jorgenson, D. W., & Timmer, M. P. (2011). Structural change in advanced nations: A new set of stylised facts. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 113(1), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9442.2010.01637.x
View in Google Scholar

Konte, M., & Vincent, R. (2017). Analyse de l’évolution de la productivité de la main d’œuvre au Sénégal (1990–2010). Document commandité par le CRES pour la Direction Générale de la Planification et des Politiques Économiques (DGPPE) du Ministère de l’Économie et des Finances du Sénégal.
View in Google Scholar

Kuznets, S. (1966). Modern economic growth: Rate, structure and spread. Yale University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Kuznets, S. (1971). Economic growth of nations: Total output and production structure. Harvard University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Lewis, W. A. (1954). Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. Manchester School, 22, 139–191.
View in Google Scholar

Loko, B., & Diouf, M. A. (2009). Revisiting the determinants of productivity growth: What’s new? IMF Working Paper, 225. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451873726.001
View in Google Scholar

Love, I., & Zicchino, L. (2006). Financial development and dynamic investment behavior: Evidence from panel VAR. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 46, 190–210.
View in Google Scholar

Lovrić, L. (2012). Information-communication technology impact on labor productivity growth of EU developing countries. Journal of Economics and Business, 30(2), 223–245.
View in Google Scholar

Maddison, A. (1952). Productivity in an expanding economy. The Economic Journal, 62(247), 584–594.
View in Google Scholar

McMillan, M. S., & Harttgen, K. (2014). Quel est le moteur du miracle de la croissance africaine? NBER Working Paper, 20077. https://doi.org/10.3386/w20077
View in Google Scholar

McMillan, M., & Rodrik, D. (2011). Globalization, structural change and productivity growth. NBER Working Papers, 17143. https://www.nber.org/papers/w17143.pdf
View in Google Scholar

McMillan, M. S., Rodrik, D., & Verduzco-Gallo, Í. (2014). Mondialisation, changement structurel et croissance de la productivité, avec une mise à jour sur l’Afrique. World Development, 63, 11–32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.10.012
View in Google Scholar

Olayemi, S. O. O. (2012). Human capital investment and industrial productivity in Nigeria. International Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 2(16), 298–307.
View in Google Scholar

Page, J. (2012). Can Africa industrialise? Journal of African Economies, 21(2), ii86–ii124. https://doi.org/10.1093/jae/ejr045
View in Google Scholar

Pedroni, P. (1999). Critical values for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61, 653–670.
View in Google Scholar

Ravn, M. O., Schmitt, G. S., & Uribe, M. (2012). Consumption, government spending, and the real exchange rate. Journal of Monetary Economics, 59(3), 215–234.
View in Google Scholar

Rostow, W. W. (1960). The stages of economic growth: A non-communist manifesto (3rd ed.). Cambridge University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Scarpetta, S., Hemmings, Ph., Tressel, T., & Woo, J. (2002). The role of policy and institutions for productivity and firm dynamics: Evidence from micro and industry data. OECD Economics Department Working Papers, 329. https://doi.org/10.1787/547061627526
View in Google Scholar

Solow, R. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94.
View in Google Scholar

Syrquin, M. (1988). Croissance économique et changement structurel en Colombie. Une comparaison internationale. Revue Tiers-Monde, 115, 481–492. https://doi.org/10.3406/ tiers.1988.3701
View in Google Scholar

Vandenberg, P., & Trinh, L. Q. (2016). Small firms, human capital, and productivity in Asia. ADBI Working Paper, 582. https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/189058/adbi-wp582.pdf
View in Google Scholar

Vries, G. de, Timmer, M., & Vries, K. de. (2014). Transformation structurelle en Afrique: Gains statiques, pertes dynamiques. The Journal of Development Studies, 51(6), 674–688. Waldkirch, A., & Ofosu, A. (2010). Foreign presence, spillovers, and productivity: Evidence from Ghana. World Development, 38(8), 1114–1126. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2009.12.020
View in Google Scholar

World Bank. (2021). World Development Indicators 2021. DataBank.
View in Google Scholar

Téléchargements

Publiée

2024-08-02

Numéro

Rubrique

Article scientifique

Comment citer

Igue, C. B., & Essehou, Y. (2024). Dynamique et déterminants de la productivité totale du travail dans les pays d’Afrique subsaharienne. La Revue Internationale Des Économistes De Langue Française, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.18559/rielf.2024.1.1632