Démocratie et croissance economique : Une analyse comparative entre pays francophones et anglophones d’Afrique subsaharienne
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.18559/rielf.2024.2.1980Mots-clés :
démocratie, croissance économique, francophone, anglophoneRésumé
Objectif : L’objectif de cet article est d’identifier les canaux de transmission des effets de la démocratie sur la croissance économique à travers une analyse comparative entre dix-huit pays francophones et dix-huit pays anglophones d’Afrique subsaharienne.
Conception/méthodologie/approche : L’approche adoptée à consister à établir un système d’équations simultanées estimé par la technique des triples moindres carrés en utilisant des données de panel sur la période 2000–2017.
Résultats : Les résultats montrent que d’un côté, la démocratie exerce un effet positif sur la croissance économique à travers le canal des dépenses publiques et un effet négatif sur la croissance à travers le canal de la corruption dans les pays francophones. De l’autre côté, les résultats révèlent que la démocratie influence positivement la croissance économique à travers le canal des dépenses publiques et celui des investissements dans les pays anglophones. Par ailleurs, l’analyse conforte l’idée selon laquelle les pays anglophones connaissent plus de progrès économique contrairement aux pays francophones grâce au fonctionnement de leur système démocratique.
Originalité/valeur : L’originalité réside dans l’analyse de l’effet mitigé de la démocratie sur la croissance économique en faisant la différence entre les groupes de pays francophones et anglophones d’Afrique subsaharienne. L’article a permis de suggérer des actions en termes de renforcement des institutions pour un meilleur fonctionnement de la démocratie dans les pays africains francophones comme anglophones.
JEL Classification
Panel Data Models • Spatio-temporal Models (C33)
Economic Growth of Open Economies (F43)
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development (O11)
Institutions and Growth (O43)
Téléchargements
Références
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., & Robinson, J. A. (2002). Reversal of fortune: Geography and institutions in the making of the modern world income distribution. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 1231–1294.
View in Google Scholar
Acemoglu, D., Naidu, S., Restrepo, P., & Robinson, J. A. (2019). Democracy does cause growth. Journal of Political Economy, 127(1), 47-100.
View in Google Scholar
Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. A. (2006). Economic origins of dictatorship and democracy. Cambridge University Press.
View in Google Scholar
Afrikmag. (2021). Classement des 10 pays africains les plus riches en 2021. https://www.ccilci.org/youkal/8988-top-10-des-pays-africains-les-plus-riches-en-2021-en-fonction-du-pib
View in Google Scholar
Aisen, A., & Veiga, F. J. (2013). How does political instability affect economic growth? European Journal of Political Economy, 29, 151–167.
View in Google Scholar
Alesina, A., Özler, S., Roubini, N., & Swagel, P. (1996). Political instability and economic growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 1, 189–211.
View in Google Scholar
Azam, J. P. (1994). Democracy and development: A theoretical framework. Public Choice, 80, 293–305.
View in Google Scholar
Barro, R. J. (1989). A cross-country study of growth, saving, and government. NBER Working Paper, 2855. https://doi.org/10.3386/w2855
View in Google Scholar
Barro, R. J. (1990). Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth. The Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 103–125.
View in Google Scholar
Barro, R. J. (1996). Democracy and growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 1, 1–27. Barro, R. J. (1997). Getting it right: Markets and choices in a free society. MIT Press.
View in Google Scholar
Barro, R. J. (1999). Determinants of democracy. Journal of Political Economy, 107(S6), 158–183.
View in Google Scholar
Barro, R. J., & Lee, J. W. (1993). Losers and winners in economic growth. The World Bank Economic Review, 7, 267–298. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/7.suppl_1.267
View in Google Scholar
Barro, R. J., & Lee, J. W. (1994). Sources of economic growth. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 40(1), 1–46.
View in Google Scholar
Bates, R. H., Fayad, G., & Hoeffler, A. (2012). The state of democracy in sub-Saharan Africa. International Area Studies Review, 15(4), 323–338.
View in Google Scholar
Burkhart, R. E., & Lewis-Beck, M. S. (1994). Comparative democracy: The economic development thesis. The American Political Science Review, 88(4), 903–910.
View in Google Scholar
Collier, P. & Hoeffler, A. (2009). Testing the neocon agenda: Democracy in resource-rich societies. European Economic Review, 53, 293–308.
View in Google Scholar
Cutright, P. (1963). National political development: measurement and analysis. American Sociological Review, 28, 253–264.
View in Google Scholar
Dasgupta, P. (1990). Well-being and the extent of its realisation in poor countries. The Economic Journal, 100, 1–32.
View in Google Scholar
Delavallade, C., & De La Croix, D. (2011). Democracy, rule of law, corruption incentives, and growth. Journal of Public Economic Theory, 13(2), 155–187.
View in Google Scholar
Doucouliagos, H., & Ulubasoglu, M. A. (2008). Democracy and economic growth: A meta-analysis. American Journal of Political Science, 52(1), 61–83.
View in Google Scholar
Easterly, W., & Levine, R. (1997). Africa’s growth tragedy: Policies and ethnic divisions. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112(4), 1203–1250.
View in Google Scholar
Easterly, W., & Levine, R. (2003). Tropics, germs, and crops: How endowments influence economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 50(1), 3–39.
View in Google Scholar
Ekomié, J. J., & Kobou, G. (2003). Démocratie et développement en Afrique. Economie et Gestion, 4(1), 83–98.
View in Google Scholar
Ghardallou, W., & Sridi, D. (2020). Democracy and economic growth: A literature review. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 11, 982–1002.
View in Google Scholar
Giavazzi, F., & Tabellini, G. (2005). Economic and political liberalizations. Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(7), 1297–1330.
View in Google Scholar
Greene, W. H. (2005). Econometric analysis (5th ed.). Prentice Hall.
View in Google Scholar
Grier, K. B., & Tullock, G. (1989). An empirical analysis of cross-national economic growth, 1951–1980. Journal of Monetary Economics, 24, 259–276.
View in Google Scholar
Gründler, K., & Krieger, T. (2016). Democracy and growth: Evidence from a machine learning indicator. European Journal of Political Economy, 45, 85–107.
View in Google Scholar
Gupta, S., Clements, B., Baldacci, E., & Granados, C. M. (2005). Fiscal policy, expenditure composition and growth in low-income countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 24(3), 441–463.
View in Google Scholar
Helliwell, J. F. (1994). Empirical linkages between democracy and economic growth. British Journal of Political Science, 24, 225–248.
View in Google Scholar
Huntington, S. P. (1968). Political order in changing societies. Yale University Press. Huntington, S. P. (1984). Will more countries become democratic? Political Science Quarterly, 99, 193–218.
View in Google Scholar
Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53–74.
View in Google Scholar
Khan, M. S. & Kumar, M. S. (1997). Public and private investment and the growth process in developing countries. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 59(1), 69–88.
View in Google Scholar
Lipset, S. M. (1959). Some social requisites of democracy: Economic development and political legitimacy. American Political Science Review, 53, 69–105.
View in Google Scholar
Lipset, S. M. (1981). Political man: The social bases of politics (2nd éd.). Johns Hopkins University Press.
View in Google Scholar
Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1), 3–42.
View in Google Scholar
Madsen, J. B., Raschky, P. A., & Skali, A. (2015). Does democracy drive income in the world, 1500–2000? European Economic Review, 78, 175–195.
View in Google Scholar
Martin, C .W., & Plümper, T. (2003). Democracy, government spending, and economic growth: A political-economic explanation of the Barro effect. Public Choice, 117, 27–50.
View in Google Scholar
Martinez-Vazquez, J., McNab, R. M., & Everhart, S. (2005). Corruption, investment and growth in developing countries. Working Paper Series, 2005/04. https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/36725251.pdf
View in Google Scholar
Mauro, P. (1995). Corruption and growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110, 681–712.
View in Google Scholar
Mijiyawa, A. G. (2010). Institutions et développement: Analyse des effets macroéconomiques des institutions et des réformes institutionelles dans le pays en développement (doctoral thesis). University of Auvergne-Clermont I.
View in Google Scholar
Mlambo, K. & Oshikoya, T. W. (2001). Macroeconomic factors and investment in Africa. Journal of African Economies, 10(2), 12–47.
View in Google Scholar
Murtin, F., & Wacziarg, R. (2014). The democratic transition. Journal of Economic Growth, 19, 141–181.
View in Google Scholar
Narayan, P. K., Narayan, S., & Smyth, R. (2011). Does democracy facilitate economic growth or does economic growth facilitate democracy? An empirical study of sub-Saharan Africa. Economic Modelling, 28, 900–910.
View in Google Scholar
Nguyen. T. C., Clements, B. J., & Bhattacharya, R. (2003). External debt, public invest- ment and growth in low-income countries. IMF Working Paper, 249. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451875904.001
View in Google Scholar
North, D. C. (1990). Institutions, institutional change and economic performance. Cambridge University Press.
View in Google Scholar
North, D. C. (2016). Institutions and economic theory. The American Economist, 61(1), 72–76.
View in Google Scholar
Papaioannou, E., & Siourounis, G. (2008). Democratization and growth. The Economic Journal, 118, 1520–1551.
View in Google Scholar
Persson, T., & Tabellini, G. (2006). Democracy and development: The devil in the details. American Economic Review, 96(2), 319–324.
View in Google Scholar
Polity5 Project. (2020). Political regime characteristics database. https://prosperitydata360.worldbank.org/en/dataset/POLITY5+PRC
View in Google Scholar
Pourgerami, A. (1988). The political economy of development: A cross-national causality test of development-democracy growth hypothesis. Public Choice, 58, 123–141.
View in Google Scholar
Przeworski, A., & Limongi, F. (1993). Political regimes and economic growth. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 7(3), 51–69.
View in Google Scholar
Rachdi, H., & Saidi, H. (2015). Democracy and economic growth: Evidence in MENA countries. Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, 191, 616–621.
View in Google Scholar
Rodrik, D., & Wacziarg, R. (2005). Do democratic transitions produce bad economic outcomes? American Economic Review, 95(2), 50–55.
View in Google Scholar
Romer, P. (1986). Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94, 1002–1037.
View in Google Scholar
Rustow, D. A. (1970). Transitions to democracy: Toward a dynamic model. Comparative Politics, 2, 337–367.
View in Google Scholar
Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. (1997). Sources of slow growth in African economies. Journal of African Economies, 6, 335–376.
View in Google Scholar
Sohail, M., Majeed, M. T., & Ishtiaq, M. (2016). Financial sector, democracy and economic growth: A panel data analysis. Pakistan Development Review, 55(4), 437–453. https://pide.org.pk/research/financial-sector-democracy-and-economic-growth-a-panel-data-analysis/
View in Google Scholar
Solow, R. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 65–94.
View in Google Scholar
Tavares, J., & Wacziarg, R. (2001). How democracy affect growth. European Economic Review, 45, 1341–1378.
View in Google Scholar
Transparency International. (2021). Indice de perception de la corruption 2020. https://www.transparency.org/fr/publications/corruption-perceptions-index-2020
View in Google Scholar
Weede, E. (1983). The impact of democracy on economic growth: Some evidence from cross-national analysis. Kyklos, 36, 21–39.
View in Google Scholar
World Development Indicators. (2020). Base de données de la Banque Mondiale. World Bank.
View in Google Scholar
Worldwide Governance Indicators. (2020). Indicateurs de gouvernance mondiale. World Bank
View in Google Scholar
Téléchargements
Publiée
Numéro
Rubrique
Licence
(c) Copyright Dramane Abdoulaye 2024
Ce travail est disponible sous licence Creative Commons Attribution - Pas d’Utilisation Commerciale - Partage dans les Mêmes Conditions 4.0 International.