Two Europes, two saving behaviours. An analysis of structural differences between EU-15 and CEE households

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2026.3.2874

Keywords:

households savings, economic freedom, employment, education, saving behaviour

Abstract

The aim of the article is to examine structural differences in household saving behaviour across European countries, arguing that European integration has not led to convergence in saving patterns. Using data from 27 EU Member States (1996–2023), it compares the EU-15 with post-2004 members through Lasso variable selection and fixed-effects panel models. By combining machine learning-based variable selection with panel regression, the study offers a novel analytical perspective on the determinants of household savings. The findings reveal significant structural differences between the two groups: taxation and monetary freedom show stronger associations with household saving in post-2004 member states, whereas education-related factors are more prominent in the EU15. These results suggest that policies should strengthen precautionary saving mechanisms and promote financial education to encourage household saving.

JEL Classification Codes

Consumption • Saving • Wealth (E21)
Investment • Capital • Intangible Capital • Capacity (E22)
General (R20)

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Aaberge, R., Liu, K., & Zhu, Y. (2017). Political uncertainty and household savings. Journal of Comparative Economics, 45(1), 154–170. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2015.12.011
View in Google Scholar

Akinlo, A., & Okunlola, C. (2022). The effect of economic freedom on quality of life: Exploring the role of political risk factors in Africa. Journal of Interdisciplinary Economics, 37(1), 42–68. https://doi.org/10.1177/02601079221121894 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/02601079221121894
View in Google Scholar

Al Mamun, T. G., Ullah, E., Hassan, M. S., Yusof, M. F., Islam, M. A., & Rab, N. B. (2025). Fiscal policy and household savings in Central Europe: A Markov switching VAR with COVID shock. Cogent Economics & Finance, 13(1), 2537233. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2025.2537233 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2025.2537233
View in Google Scholar

Almudi, I., Andaluz, J., Fatas-Villafranca, F., & Jarne, G. (2023). On the dynamics of the savings ratio and the employment rate. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4486125 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4486125
View in Google Scholar

Arıç, K. H., & Siok, K. S. (2021). Saving tendency of developed and developing European countries. Ekonomika, 100(1), 139–155. https://doi.org/10.15388/10.15388/Ekon.2021.1.8 DOI: https://doi.org/10.15388/10.15388/Ekon.2021.1.8
View in Google Scholar

Bajrami, R., Bajraktari, K., & Gashi, A. (2025). The impact of economic freedom on economic growth in Western Balkan countries. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 18(8), 461. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080461 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080461
View in Google Scholar

Băsu, C. E. (2023, June 15–16). The impact of social status on financial education and saving behaviour in young adult population (a case study for Romania). Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Economics and Social Sciences. https://doi.org/10.2478/9788367405546-028 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/9788367405546-028
View in Google Scholar

Bebczuk, R., Gasparini, L., Amendolaggine, J., & Garbero, N. (2015). Understanding the determinants of household saving: micro evidence for Latin America. Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales (CEDLAS).
View in Google Scholar

Beckmann, E., Hake, M., & Urvova, J. (2013). Determinants of households’ savings in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe. Focus on European Economic Integration, 3, 8–29.
View in Google Scholar

Bohdalová, M., & Pažický, M. (2019). Dynamics of household savings and consumption in the Euro Area. Ekonomický Časopis, 67(7), 679–697.
View in Google Scholar

Bollinger, C., Ding, X., & Lugauer, S. (2022). The expansion of higher education and household saving in China. China Economic Review, 71, 101736. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2021.101736
View in Google Scholar

Borowski, J., & Jaworski, K. (2023). Economic and behavioral determinants of forced household savings during the COVID-19 pandemic. Empirica, 50, 237–253. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10663-022-09563-8 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10663-022-09563-8
View in Google Scholar

Breusch, T. S., & Godfrey, L. G. (1978). Testing for autocorrelation in dynamic linear models. Australian Economic Papers, 17(31), 335–355. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8454.1978.tb00635.x
View in Google Scholar

Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1979). A simple test for heteroscedasticity and random coefficient variation. Econometrica, 47(5), 1287–1294. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1911963
View in Google Scholar

Brkić, I., Gradojević, N., & Ignjatijević, S. (2020). The impact of economic freedom on economic growth? New European Dynamic Panel Evidence. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(2), 26. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13020026
View in Google Scholar

Carroll, C. D. (1997). Buffer-stock saving and the life cycle / permanent income hypothesis. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112(1), 1–55. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2951275 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/003355397555109
View in Google Scholar

Caughlin, D. E. (2024). Supervised statistical learning using lasso regression. In R for HR: An introduction to human resource analytics using R (Version 0.1.7., Chapter 54). https://rforhr.com/lassoregression.html
View in Google Scholar

Cervelló-Royo, R., Devece, C., & Blanco-González, C. (2023). Economic freedom influences economic growth and unemployment: An analysis of the Eurozone. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 36(2), 2175007. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2023.2175007
View in Google Scholar

Chairassamee, N., Chancharoenchai, K., & Saraithong, W. (2025). The impact of government transfers on household consumption in Thailand. Journal of Southeast Asian Economies, 42(2), 218–235. https://doi.org/10.1355/ae42-2e DOI: https://doi.org/10.1355/ae42-2e
View in Google Scholar

Dekkiche, D., & Leila, O. B. (2024). Effect of trade openness on economic growth within BRICS countries: an ARDL panel approach. Anali Ekonomskog Fakulteta u Subotici, 60(51), 105–121. https://doi.org/10.5937/AnEkSub2300028D DOI: https://doi.org/10.5937/AnEkSub2300028D
View in Google Scholar

Delestre, I., & Waters, T. (2026). Unemployment, benefits and household spending: New evidence from UK bank account data. The Institute for Fiscal Studies. https://ifs.org.uk/publications/unemployment-benefits-and-household-spending-new-evidence-uk-bank-account-data DOI: https://doi.org/10.1920/re.ifs.2026.0001
View in Google Scholar

Duesenberry, J. S. (1949). Income, saving, and the theory of consumption behavior. Harvard University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Feldstein, M., & Elmendorf, D. (1990). Government debt, government spending, and private sector behavior revisited: Comment. American Economic Review, 80(3), 589–599.
View in Google Scholar

Fredriksson, C., & Staal, K. (2021). Determinants of household savings: A cross-country analysis. International Advances in Economic Research, 27, 257–272. https:// doi.org/10.1007/s11294-022-09842-x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11294-022-09842-x
View in Google Scholar

Friedman, M. (1957). A theory of the consumption function. Princeton University Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/9780691188485
View in Google Scholar

Gao, J. (2023). R-squared – how much variation is explained? Research Methods in Medicine & Health Sciences, 5(4). https://doi.org/10.1177/26320843231186398 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/26320843231186398
View in Google Scholar

Horioka, C. J., & Ventura, L. (2025). Why do Europeans save? Micro-evidence from the household finance and consumption survey. NBER Working Paper, 32838. https://doi.org/10.3386/w32838 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w32838
View in Google Scholar

Hung, N., Oanh, T., & Trang, C. (2024). The impact of economic freedom on economic growth in countries with high and low regulatory quality—lessons for Viet Nam. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 11, 1237. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-024-03741-8 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-024-03741-8
View in Google Scholar

Keynes, J. M. (1936). The general theory of employment, interest and money. Harcourt, Brace.
View in Google Scholar

Kim, J. H. (2019). Multicollinearity and misleading statistical results. Korean Journal of Anesthesiology, 72(6), 558–569. https://doi.org/10.4097/kja.19087 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4097/kja.19087
View in Google Scholar

Klopocka, A., & Gorska, R. (2021). Forecasting household saving rate with consumer confidence indicator and its components: Panel data analysis of 14 European countries. European Research Studies Journal, 24(3), 874–898. https//doi.org/10.35808/ersj/2389 DOI: https://doi.org/10.35808/ersj/2389
View in Google Scholar

Korzeniowska, A. (2023). Household saving in crisis—literature review. Journal of Finance and Financial Law, 4(40), 67–76. https://doi.org/10.18778/2391-6478.4.40.04 DOI: https://doi.org/10.18778/2391-6478.4.40.04
View in Google Scholar

Korzeniowska, A., & Ulman, P. (2023). Household saving motives and socio-demographic factors. Ruch Prawniczy, Ekonomiczny i Socjologiczny, 85(4). https://doi.org/10.14746/rpeis.2023.85.4.09 DOI: https://doi.org/10.14746/rpeis.2023.85.4.09
View in Google Scholar

Kukk, M., & Staehr, K. (2017). Macroeconomic factors in the dynamics of corporate and household saving: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 53(11), 2585–2608. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2016.1262759 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2016.1262759
View in Google Scholar

Kuznets, S. (1946). National product since 1869. National Bureau of Economic Research. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2550223
View in Google Scholar

Le Blanc, J., Porpiglia, A., Teppa, F., Zhu, J., & Ziegelmeyer, M. (2013). Household saving behavior in the Euro Area. Royal Economic Society Conference. London. Great Britain.
View in Google Scholar

Li, L. (2021). Political violence and household savings: Evidence from the long-term effects of the Cultural Revolution. Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 19, 100320. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2021.100320 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2021.100320
View in Google Scholar

Lusardi, A. (2008). Financial literacy: An essential tool for informed consumer choice? NBER Working Paper, 14084. https://doi.org/10.3386/w14084 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w14084
View in Google Scholar

Mierzejewski, M., & Szczurek, J. (2025). European household savings dynamics: Under inflation and post-pandemic shocks. Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, 1(23), 70–82. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7172/2353-6845.jbfe.2025.1.5
View in Google Scholar

Modigliani, F., & Brumberg, R. (1954). Utility analysis and the consumption function: An interpretation of cross-section data. In K. K. Kurihara (Ed.), Post-Keynesian economics (pp. 388–436). Rutgers University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Niculescu-Aron, I., & Mihăescu, C. (2012). Determinants of household savings in EU: What policies for increasing savings? Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, 58, 483-492. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.09.1025 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.09.1025
View in Google Scholar

Osińska, M., Malaga, K., & Lach, B. (2025). Investigating relationships between economic freedom, growth, and development in CEE countries. Journal of Institutional Economics, 21(16). https://doi.org/10.1017/S1744137425000116 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1744137425000116
View in Google Scholar

Patrick, R. H. (2020). Durbin–Wu–Hausman specification tests. In C. F. Lee & J. C. Lee (Eds.), Handbook of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning (pp. 1075–1108). World Scientific. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/9789811202391_0028
View in Google Scholar

Pesaran, M. H. (2015). Testing weak cross-sectional dependence in large panels. Econometric Reviews, 34, 1089–1117. https://doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2014.956623 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2014.956623
View in Google Scholar

Pham, T., Lang, N. D., Ho, C. M., & Vo, D. H. (2024). Educational attainment, household income and wealth accumulation in Vietnam. Social Indicators Research, 172, 635–671. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-024-03321-y
View in Google Scholar

Pollack, M. (2009). Europe united? The impact of the EU’s eastern enlargement, five years on. European View, 8(2), 239–254. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12290-009-0100-z
View in Google Scholar

Ptak-Chmielewska, A., & Grzywińska-Rąpca, M. (2026). Determinants of household saving in selected European countries: Analysis of objective economic factors and subjective evaluations. Humanities and Social Sciences, 33(1), 139–158. https://doi.org/10.7862/rz.2026.hss.09 DOI: https://doi.org/10.7862/rz.2026.hss.09
View in Google Scholar

Röhn, O. (2010). New evidence on the private saving offset and Ricardian equivalence. OECD Economics Department Working Papers, 762. https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/new-evidence-on-the-private-saving-offset-and-ricardian-equivalence_5kmft7qb5kq3-en.html DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1616681
View in Google Scholar

Roodman, D. (2009). How to do Xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata. The Stata Journal: Promoting Communications on Statistics and Stata, 9(1), 86–136. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867x0900900106 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0900900106
View in Google Scholar

Schimmelfennig, F. (2008). EU political accession conditionality after the 2004 enlargement: Consistency and effectiveness. Journal of European Public Policy, 15, 918–937. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13501760802196861
View in Google Scholar

Schrooten, M., & Stephan, S. (2003). Private savings in Eastern European EU-accession countries: Evidence from a dynamic panel data model. Discussion Paper of DIW Berlin, 372. https://ideas.repec.org/p/diw/diwwpp/dp372.html
View in Google Scholar

Shapiro, S. S., & Wilk, M. B. (1965). An analysis of variance test for normality (complete samples). Biometrika, 52, 591–611. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/52.3-4.591
View in Google Scholar

Skoblar, A. (2024). The puzzle of household savings in the European Union: Tracing influences across time and space. Public Sector Economics, 48(3). https://doi.org/10.3326/pse.48.3.1 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3326/pse.48.3.1
View in Google Scholar

Socioliuc (Guriță), O. R., Iacobuță-Mihăiță, A. O., & Ciortescu, E. (2021). Private property—the inclusive institution which shaped dissimilar economic dynamics. Evidence from the Czech Republic and Romania. Eastern Journal of European Studies, 12, 213–243. DOI: https://doi.org/10.47743/ejes-2021-0211
View in Google Scholar

Štilić, A., Mastilo, A., Vuković, K., & Mastilo, D. (2023). Innovative solutions for economic growth: Exploring the impact of economic freedoms on foreign direct investment attraction. Innovative and Economics Research Journal, 11(1), 29–44. https://doi.org/10.2478/eoik-2023-0013 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/eoik-2023-0013
View in Google Scholar

Šubová, N., Buleca, J., Affuso, E., & Mixon Jr., F. (2023). The link between household savings rates and GDP: Evidence from the Visegrád group. Post-Communist Economies, 36(2), 197–221. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2262688 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2262688
View in Google Scholar

Tanzi, V., & Zee, H. (1998 ). Taxation and the household saving rate: Evidence from OECD countries. IMF Working Paper, 98/36. https://www.elibrary.imf.org/downloadpdf/view/journals/001/1998/036/001.1998.issue-036-en.pdf DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451845426.001
View in Google Scholar

Thaariq, R. M., Anindita, A., & Iftina, H. D. (2021). The Internet miracle: The impact of Internet access on household saving in Indonesia. Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, 24(2), 255–282. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v24i2.1650
View in Google Scholar

Vanlaer, W., Bielen, S., & Marneffe, W. (2020). Consumer confidence and household saving behaviors: A cross-country empirical analysis. Social Indicators Research, 147, 677–721. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-019-02170-4
View in Google Scholar

Wooldridge, J. M. (2002). Econometric analysis of cross-section. MIT Press.
View in Google Scholar

Downloads

Published

2026-09-30

Issue

Section

Research articles

How to Cite

Giurgi, A.-M., & Pricop, I.-A. (2026). Two Europes, two saving behaviours. An analysis of structural differences between EU-15 and CEE households. Economics and Business Review, 12(3), 9-33. https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2026.3.2874