Effect of structural transformation on tax revenue mobilisation in sub-Saharan African countries

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18559/rielf.2025.2.3000

Keywords:

tax revenues, structural transformation, sub-Saharan Africa, Generalised Moment Methods, agriculture, industry, services

Abstract

Purpose: The objective of this study is to estimate the effect of structural transformation on tax revenue mobilisation in 33 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 2000–2018.

Design/methodology/approach: The analysis is based on the estimation of a Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) model.

Findings: The results show that structural transformation positively and significantly affects tax revenue mobilisation. Furthermore, the positive effect of structural transformation on tax revenue mobilisation is channeled through GDP per capita, trade openness, institutional capacity and the industrial and service sectors. In the case of sectors, our results show that the effect of structural transformation on tax revenues is greater via the industrial channel than the services channel.

Originality/value: So, to better mobilise tax revenues, sub-Saharan African countries need to work towards a genuine structural transformation that promotes industrialisation, favours the development of services, improves incomes and strengthens institutional capacities.

JEL Classification

General (H20)
General (H30)
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development (O11)

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Amadou, A., & Aronda, T. (2020). Structural transformation in sub-Saharan Africa. African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, 11(2), 233-252.
View in Google Scholar

Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297.
View in Google Scholar

Arellano, M., & Bover, O. (1995). Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error components models. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 29–51.
View in Google Scholar

Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143.
View in Google Scholar

Boitano, G., & Abanto, D. F. (2019). The informal economy and its impact on tax revenues and economic growth. The case of Peru, Latin America, and OECD countries. Revista de Ciencias de la Gestión, (4), 128–157.
View in Google Scholar

Brun, J. F., Chambas, G., & Guerineau, S. (2007). Aide et mobilisation fiscale dans les pays en développement. Agence Française de Développement, 21, 1–72.
View in Google Scholar

Bustos, P., Garber, G., & Ponticelli, J. (2020). Capital accumulation and structural transformation. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(2), 1037–1094. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjz044
View in Google Scholar

Cadot, O., De Melo, J., Plane, P., Wagner, L., & Woldemichael, M. T. (2015). Industrialisation et transformation structurelle: L’Afrique subsaharienne peut-elle se développer sans usines? Papiers de Recherche AFD, 10, 1–85.
View in Google Scholar

Chenery, H. (1960). Patterns of industrial growth. American Economic Review, 50(4), 624–654.
View in Google Scholar

Clark, C. (1940). The conditions of economic progress. MacMillan.
View in Google Scholar

CNUCED. (2006). Rapport 2006 sur les pays les moins avancés: Développer les capacités productives. Nations Unies.
View in Google Scholar

CNUCED. (2020). Indice des capacités productives de la CNUCED: Coup de projecteur sur les pays en développement sans littoral. Nations Unies.
View in Google Scholar

De Vries, G., Timmer, M., & De Vries, K. (2015). Structural transformation in Africa: Static gains, dynamic losses. Journal of Development Studies, 51(6), 674–688. https://econpapers.repec.org/article/tafjdevst/v_3a51_3ay_3a2015_3ai_3a6_3ap_3a674-688.htm
View in Google Scholar

Doghmi, H. (2020). La capacité de mobilisation des recettes fiscales au Maroc. Document de travail, Bank Al-Maghrib, Département de la Recherche. https://ideas.repec.org/p/ris/bkamdt/2020_001.html
View in Google Scholar

Elgin, C., Kose, M. A., Ohnsorge, F., & Yu, S. (2021). Understanding informality. CERP Discussion Paper 16497. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3914265
View in Google Scholar

FMI. (2018). Mali: Questions générales. Rapport du FMI No.18/142. publications@imf.org
View in Google Scholar

Gnangnon, S. K., & Brun, J. F. (2018). Impact of bridging the internet gap on public revenue mobilization. Information Economics and Policy, 43, 23–33.
View in Google Scholar

Gniniguè, M., Abalo, B. F. A., Paroubénim, T., & Heyou, M. R., (2022). The impact of agricultural structural transformation on economic growth in Africa. African Journal of Economic Review, 10(2), 1–12. https://www.ajol.info/index.php/ajer/article/view/222847
View in Google Scholar

Gniniguè, M., & Tchalim, T. (2021). Effet de l’émigration sur la transformation structurelle de la Communauté Économique des États de l’Afrique de l ’ Ouest. Revue Internationale des Économistes de Langue Française, 9(1), 129–150. https://doi.org/10.18559/rielf.2021.1.7
View in Google Scholar

Greene, W. H. (2003). Econometric analysis (6th ed.). Pearson.
View in Google Scholar

Gupta, A. S. (2007). Determinants of tax revenue efforts in developing countries. IMF Working Papers, 07, 184. https://ssrn.com/abstract=1007933
View in Google Scholar

Jebali, B., & Boussida, S. (2020). Effort et potentiel fiscaux en Tunisie. Notes et analyses de l’ITCEQ. Document de travail, 60.
View in Google Scholar

Karagöz, K. (2013). Determinants of tax revenue: Does sectorial composition matter? Journal of Finance, Accounting and Management, 4(2), 50–63.
View in Google Scholar

Kuznets, S. (1966). Modern economic growth. Yale University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Kuznets, S. (1979). Growth and structural shifts. Economic growth and structural change in Taiwan: The postwar experience of the Republic of China. Cornell University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Lewis, W. A. (1954). Economic development with unlimited supplies of labor. Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, 22, 139–191.
View in Google Scholar

McMillan, M., Rodrik, D., & Verduzco-Gallo, I. (2014). Globalization, structural change, and productivity growth, with an Update on Africa. World Development, 63, 11–32.
View in Google Scholar

Medina, L., Jonelis, M. A. W., & Cangul, M. (2017). The informal economy in sub-Saharan Africa: Size and determinants. IMF Working Papers, 156. https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2017/07/10/the-informal-economy-in-sub-saharan-africa-size-and-determinants-45017
View in Google Scholar

Mengoub, F. E. (2018, janvier 18). Investissement agricole en Afrique: Un niveau faible… de nombreuses opportunités. Policy Brief.
View in Google Scholar

Mühlen, H., & Escobar, O. (2020). The role of FDI in structural change: Evidence from Mexico. World Economy, 43(3), 557–585. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12879
View in Google Scholar

N’diaye, M., & Sanogo, B. (2022). La politique fiscale et le développement: Performance du système fiscal dans l’Union Économique et Monétaire Ouest-Africaine (UEMOA). Revue Française d’Économie et de Gestion, 3(2), 27–51.
View in Google Scholar

OCDE/CUA/ATAF. (2021). Statistiques des recettes publiques en Afrique 2021. Éditions OCDE. https://www.oecd.org/fr/publications/revenue-statistics-in-africa-2021_c511aa1e-en-fr.html
View in Google Scholar

Pessino, C., & Fenochietto, R. (2010). Determining countries’ tax effort. Hacienda Publica/ Revista de Economia Publica, 195(4), 65–87.
View in Google Scholar

PNUD. (2017). Inégalités de revenus en Afrique subsaharienne: Tendances divergentes, déterminants et conséquences. Programme des Nations Unies pour le Développement.
View in Google Scholar

Radouane, J., & Said, Y. (2020). Déterminants des recettes fiscales: Evidences empiriques pour le cas du Maroc. International Journal of Innovation and Applied Studies, 30(1), 84–90.
View in Google Scholar

Saviotti, P. P., & Pyka, A. (2012). On the co-evolution of innovation and demand: Some policy implications. Revue de l’OFCE, (5), 347–388.
View in Google Scholar

Silva, E. G., & Teixeira, A. A. (2011). Does structure influence growth? A panel data econometric assessment of “relatively less developed” countries, 1979–2003. Industrial and Corporate Change, 20(2), 457–510.
View in Google Scholar

Stotsky, J. G., & Wolde Mariam, A. (1997). Tax effort in sub-Saharan Africa. IMF Working Papers, 107. https://econpapers.repec.org/paper/imfimfwpa/1997_2f107.htm
View in Google Scholar

Syrquin, M. (1994). Structural transformation and the new growth theory. In L. L. Pasinetti & R. M. Solow (Eds.), Economic growth and the structure of long-term development (pp. 3–21). St. Martin’s Press.
View in Google Scholar

UNCTAD. (2021). UNCTADstat. Conférence des Nations Unies sur le Commerce et le Développement.
View in Google Scholar

WDI. (2021). DataBank. The World Bank. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
View in Google Scholar

Wonyra, K. O. (2018). Industrialization and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa: The role of human capital in structural transformation. Journal of Empirical Studies, 5(1), 45–54.
View in Google Scholar

Downloads

Published

2026-02-06

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

TCHAGNAO, A.-F. (2026). Effect of structural transformation on tax revenue mobilisation in sub-Saharan African countries. La Revue Internationale Des Économistes De Langue Française, 10(2). https://doi.org/10.18559/rielf.2025.2.3000

Similar Articles

1-10 of 108

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.