What drives the savings rate in middle-income countries?

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2023.4.1072

Keywords:

savings rate, gross savings, gross domestic savings, middle-income country

Abstract

The aim of this study is to examine the factors that influence the savings rate in middle-income countries and to compare the results with other studies devoted to different subgroups of countries. Among the potential determinants of savings the study considers: demography, income level, financial sector, international trade, inflation and the structure of the economy. The research sample is confined to 44 middle-income countries and covers the period between 2000 and 2019. Six model specifications are constructed using three different estimators: FE, FGLS and PCSE. In the next step the same models are estimated using alternative dependent variables. Results suggest that industrial share in GDP has a positive impact on the savings rate. On the other hand a  negative relationship was diagnosed between the savings  and unemployment rates, the share of labour compensation in GDP, military expenditure, inflation and the  young dependency ratio.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abid, S., & Afridi, G. S. (2010). Assessing the household saving pattern of urban and rural households in district Muzaffarabad. Pakistan Journal of Life & Social Sciences, 8(2).
View in Google Scholar

Adelakun, O. (2015). An Investigation of the Determinants of Savings and Investment in Nigeria. Issues in Economics and Business, 1(2).
View in Google Scholar

Agrawal, P. (2001). The Relation between Savings and Growth: Cointegration and Causality Evidence from Asia. Applied Economics, 33.
View in Google Scholar

Aiyar, S., Duval, R., Puy D., Wu Y., Zhang L. (2013). Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap. IMF Working Paper, WP/13/71, International Monetary Fund.
View in Google Scholar

Ahmed, S., & Cruz, M. (2018), On the impact of demographic change on economic growth and poverty, World Development, 105
View in Google Scholar

Ang, J. (2009). Household Saving Behaviour in an Extended Life Cycle Model: A Comparative Study of China and India. Journal of Development Studies, 45(8).
View in Google Scholar

Aric, K. (2015). Determinants of savings in the APEC countries. Theoretical and Applied Economics, 2(603).
View in Google Scholar

Bhandari, R. D. D., Pradhan, G., Upadhyaya K.P. (2007). Determinants of private saving in South Asia. South Asia Economic Journal, 8(2).
View in Google Scholar

Bloom, D., Canning, D., Graham, B. (2002). Life Expectancy and National Saving Rates. Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
View in Google Scholar

Bosworth, B. & Chodorow-Reich, G. (2006). Saving and Demographic Change: The Global Dimension. Prepared for the 8th Annual Joint Conference of the Retirement Research Consortium, Pathways to a Secure Retirement, Washington, DC.
View in Google Scholar

Bulman, D., Maya, E., Ha, N. (2017). Transitioning from Low-Income Growth to High- Income Growth. Is There a Middle Income Trap? Journal od the Asia and pacific economy, 22(1).
View in Google Scholar

Bunting, D. (1991). Savings and the distribution of income. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 14.
View in Google Scholar

Cansin Doker, A., Turkmen, A., Selcuk, E. (2016). What are the Demographic Determinants of Savings? An Analysis on Transition Economies (1993-2013). Procedia Economics and Finance, 39.
View in Google Scholar

Cardenas, M., & Escobar, A. (1998). Saving Determinants in Colombia: 1925-1994. Journal of Development Economics, 57(1).
View in Google Scholar

Checchi, D., & Garcia-Penelosa, C. (2008), Labour market institutions and income inequality, Economic Policy, 23(56).
View in Google Scholar

Coale, A.J., & Hoover, E.M. (1958). Population Growth and Economic Development in Low Income Countries, Princeton. NJ: Princeton University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Colak, O., & Ozturkler, H. (2012). Tasarrufun Belirleyicileri: Kuresel Tasarruf Egiliminde Degişim ve Turkiye’de Hanehalki Tasarruf Egiliminin Analizi. Bankacilar Dergisi, 23/82: 3-44.
View in Google Scholar

Cohn, A. R., & Kolluri, B. R. (2003). Determinants of household saving in the G-7 Countries: Recent evidence. Applied Economics, 35.
View in Google Scholar

Daudey, E., & García-Peñalosa, C. (2007). The personal and the factor distributions of income in a cross-section of countries. The Journal of Development Studies, 43(5).
View in Google Scholar

Deger, S. (1986). Economic development and defense expenditure. Econ. Dev. Cult. Change, 35 (1).
View in Google Scholar

Domar, E.D. (1946). Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth and Employment. Econometrica, 14(2).
View in Google Scholar

Doshi, K. (1994). Determinants of Saving Rate: An International Comparison. Contemporary Economic Policy, 12(1).
View in Google Scholar

Dynan, K., Skinner, J., Zeldes, S. (1996). Do the rich save more?. NBER Working Paper Series, National Bureau of Economic research.
View in Google Scholar

Felipe, J. (2012). Tracking the Middle-Income Trap: What is it, Who is in it, and Why?. ADB Economics Working Paper Series No 307, Asian Development Bank, Manila.
View in Google Scholar

Friedman, M. (1957). A Theory of the Consumption Function. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
View in Google Scholar

Gill, I., & Kharas, H. (2007). An East Asian Renaissance : Ideas for Economic Growth. Washington, DC: World Bank.
View in Google Scholar

Granville, B., & Mallick, S. (2004). Pension reforms and savings gains in the United Kingdom. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 7(2).
View in Google Scholar

Horioka, C.Y., & Wan, J. (2007). The Determinants of Household Saving in China: A Dynamic Panel Analysis of Provincial Data. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 39(8).
View in Google Scholar

Horioka, C. Y., & Hagiwara A. T. (2011). The Determinants and Long-Term Projections of Saving Rates in Developing Asia. NBER Working Paper. 17581, p.1–35.
View in Google Scholar

Im, F.G., & Rosenblatt, D. (2013). Middle-income traps: a conceptual and empirical survey. Policy Research Working Paper 6594, Operations and Strategy Unit, Development Economics, World Bank
View in Google Scholar

Jayasooriya, S. (2017). Growth slowdowns, middle-income trap, and demographic profile in South Asia. ADBI Working papers series.
View in Google Scholar

Jongwanich, J. (2010). The determinants of household and private savings in Thailand. Applied Economics, 42.
View in Google Scholar

Kandil, M. (2015). Determinants of Lower Saving Rates in the USA: Prospects and Implications. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 20(4).
View in Google Scholar

Kapingura, F. M., Ikhide, S., Tsegaye, A. (2015). Determinants of savings in the SADC region : the role of foreign capital and financial development. Journal of Applied Business Research, 31(6).
View in Google Scholar

Khan, R. E. A., Hye, Q. M. A. (2010). Financial Sector Reforms and Household Savings in Pakistan: An ARDL Approach. African. Journal of Business Management, 4(16).
View in Google Scholar

Kudaisi, B. (2013). Savings and its determinants in West Africa Countries. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 4(18).
View in Google Scholar

Larbi, D. A. (2013). The Long Run Determinants of Private Domestic Savings in Ghana: A Cointeration Approach. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 4(4).
View in Google Scholar

Loayza, N., & Shankar, R. (2000). Private Savings in India. The World Bank Economic Review, 14(3).
View in Google Scholar

Ma, Q., & Liu, M. (2022), The impact of savings rate on economic growth in Asian countries, National Accounting Review, 4(4).
View in Google Scholar

Mason, A. (2001). Population Change and Economic Development in East Asia. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.
View in Google Scholar

McKinnon, R.I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development. Brookings Institution, Washington, DC
View in Google Scholar

Modigliani, F. & Brumberg R.H. (1954). Utility Analysis and the Consumption Function: An Interpretation of Cross-Section. Data. In: Kurihara, K.K., Ed., Post-Keynesian Economics, Rutgers University Press, New Brunswick, 388-436.
View in Google Scholar

Morgan, P., & Long, T. (2020), Financial literacy, financial inclusion, and savings behavior in Laos, Journal of Asian Economies, 68
View in Google Scholar

Nasir, S., Khalid, M. (2004). Saving-Investment behavior in Pakistan: An empirical investigation. Pakistan Development Review, 43(4).
View in Google Scholar

Niculescu-Aron, I., & Mihăescu, C. (2012). Determinants of Household Savings in EU:What Policies for Increasing Savings Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 58.
View in Google Scholar

Ogbokor, C., & Samahiya, O. (2014). A Time Series Analysis of the determinants of Savings in Namibia. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 5(8).
View in Google Scholar

Quartey, P. (2005). Financial Sector Development, Savings Mobilization and Poverty reduction in Ghana. UNU World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WISER).
View in Google Scholar

Reinhart, C., & Tokatlids, I. (2000). Financial liberalization: The African Experience. African Research Economic Consortium, Nairobi Kenya.
View in Google Scholar

Samantaraya, A., & Patra, S. (2014). Determinants of Household Savings in India: An Empirical Analysis Using ARDL Approach. Economics Research International.
View in Google Scholar

Schmidt-Hebbel, K., & Servén, L. (2000). Does income inequality raise aggregate saving?. Journal of Development Economics, 61(2).
View in Google Scholar

Solow, R. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70.
View in Google Scholar

Su, D., & Yao, Y. (2017), Manufacturing as the key engine of economic growth for middle-income economies, Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 1.
View in Google Scholar

Thanoon, M.A.M., & Baharumshah, A.Z. (2005). What Happened to Savings During the Financial Crisis – A Dynamic Panel Analysis of Asian-5 Countries. Econ Change, 38.
View in Google Scholar

Thanoon, M. A. M., & Baharumshah, A. Z. (2012). Comparing Savings Behavior in Asia and Latin America: The Role of Capital Inflows and Economic Growth. The Journal of Developing Areas, 46(1).
View in Google Scholar

The World Bank (2022). World Bank Country and Lending Groups. https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups.
View in Google Scholar

Tobin, J. (1967). Life Cycle Savings and Balanced Growth. Chapter 9 in Ten Economic Studies in the Tradition of Irving Fisher, W. Fellner, et al. (eds), New York, NY: Wiley.
View in Google Scholar

Tobing, E. (2012). Demography and cross-country differences in savings rates: a new approach and evidence. Journal of Population Economics, 25(3).
View in Google Scholar

Wang, D., Jin, M., Guo, Z. (2016). Harberger-Laursen-Metzler Effect with Modified Becker-Mulligan Preference by Dynamic Optimization, Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society.
View in Google Scholar

Wolff, E. (2010). Recent trends in household wealth in the United States: rising debt and the Middle class squeeze: an update to 2007. Working Paper No. 589, Levy Economics Institute.
View in Google Scholar

World development indicators. Washington, D.C. :The World Bank.
View in Google Scholar

Yasin, J. (2007). Demographic Structure and Private Savings: Some Evidence from Emerging Markets. Twenty –Seventh Annual Meeting of The Middle East Economic Association (MEEA) Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Chicago.
View in Google Scholar

Zhuk, M. (2015). Macroeconomic Determinants of Household Savings in Ukraine. Economics and Sociology, 8(3).
View in Google Scholar

Downloads

Published

2023-12-11

Issue

Section

Research article- regular issue

How to Cite

Błoch, W. (2023). What drives the savings rate in middle-income countries? . Economics and Business Review, 9(4). https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2023.4.1072

Similar Articles

1-10 of 126

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.